Are Western actions against Russia invading Ukraine weakening?

Four months after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, dozens of United Nations ambassadors from African, Middle Eastern, South American and Asian countries attended a reception at Russia’s UN office in New York to celebrate Russia’s Independence Day in June.

The ambassadors of these countries are struggling with the efforts of Western diplomats to isolate Russia in the international arena.

While some countries think that the UN has been insufficient to end the war in Ukraine, which has been the main agenda item in the world for 6 months, Western diplomats agree that actions that can target Russia more are limited.

“Is it wise to stand up to Russia?”

“The longer the war dragged on, the harder it was to find meaningful ways to punish Russia,” said Richard Gowan, UN Director of the International Crisis Group for Reuters.

Diplomats, fearing insufficient support against Russia with the increase in abstention votes in the UN, Western countries do not even put some measures to the vote.

Olaf Wientzek, Director of the Geneva Office of the German Konrad Adenauer Foundation, said: “Is it really wise to be among those who oppose Russia?” he asks”.

“Western countries all know very well that it is impossible to isolate Russia, a global power,” says Russia’s UN Geneva office.

Russia, as a permanent member of the United Nations Security Council, has the power to veto sanctions against it.

In April, the UN General Assembly voted to remove Russia from the Human Rights Council. Russia warned that this behavior of those who voted “yes” or abstained before this vote would be seen as “hostile” and would have consequences for its relations with Russia. Still, he was voted out of the Human Rights Council with 93 “yes” votes.

Linda Thomas-Greenfield, the United States Ambassador to the UN, states that “false narratives” that Russia blames for the Western sanctions for the food crisis have been met, but this has not increased support for Russia.

The red line could be the use of nuclear weapons

In the week of February 24, when the Russian invasion began, three-quarters of the members of the UN General Assembly voted to condemn Russia and demand that it withdraw its troops. In the third week of the occupation, Russia was overwhelmingly accused of creating a “terrible” humanitarian situation.

An Asian diplomat believes that the actions in March were the high point and that support for the West will dwindle after that. He adds: “There will be no will for further action unless the red line is crossed”.

According to some diplomats, these red lines could be a chemical or nuclear attack, massive civilian deaths, or the annexation of Ukraine.

“What surprises us most is the idea that the West is encouraging Ukraine to continue such a conflict indefinitely by supplying weapons and not engaging in genuine peaceful talks to end the conflict,” said an African diplomat.

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